Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001725 0.001832 0.001943 0.002066 0.002199 0.002339 0.002497
2025-03-23 0.001554 0.001703 0.001862 0.002047 0.002256 0.002485 0.002757
2025-03-30 0.001439 0.001614 0.001807 0.002039 0.002309 0.002617 0.002996
2025-04-06 0.001338 0.001528 0.001745 0.002010 0.002328 0.002702 0.003177
2025-04-13 0.001252 0.001452 0.001685 0.001976 0.002334 0.002764 0.003327
2025-04-20 0.001159 0.001362 0.001601 0.001905 0.002287 0.002757 0.003385
2025-04-27 0.001123 0.001336 0.001592 0.001924 0.002350 0.002884 0.003617
2025-05-04 0.001101 0.001327 0.001602 0.001965 0.002439 0.003048 0.003905
2025-05-11 0.001090 0.001329 0.001624 0.002021 0.002551 0.003245 0.004247
2025-05-18 0.001062 0.001308 0.001616 0.002037 0.002608 0.003371 0.004497
2025-05-25 0.001014 0.001260 0.001570 0.002000 0.002590 0.003392 0.004599
2025-06-01 0.000974 0.001220 0.001533 0.001972 0.002584 0.003428 0.004722
2025-06-08 0.000942 0.001191 0.001513 0.001971 0.002620 0.003533 0.004966
2025-06-15 0.000904 0.001153 0.001479 0.001949 0.002627 0.003598 0.005155
2025-06-22 0.000873 0.001124 0.001456 0.001941 0.002651 0.003688 0.005389
2025-06-29 0.000838 0.001087 0.001421 0.001913 0.002645 0.003732 0.005551
2025-07-06 0.000804 0.001050 0.001384 0.001881 0.002630 0.003760 0.005689
2025-07-13 0.000761 0.001000 0.001325 0.001815 0.002560 0.003699 0.005672
2025-07-20 0.000747 0.000990 0.001324 0.001833 0.002619 0.003841 0.006009
2025-07-27 0.000741 0.000990 0.001336 0.001871 0.002710 0.004042 0.006460
2025-08-03 0.000739 0.000996 0.001358 0.001924 0.002828 0.004291 0.007019
2025-08-10 0.000727 0.000986 0.001355 0.001939 0.002885 0.004442 0.007409
2025-08-17 0.000701 0.000955 0.001320 0.001904 0.002858 0.004447 0.007528